Showing posts with label Technical Analysis. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Technical Analysis. Show all posts

Saturday, 12 March 2011

Insider Trading

Since the depths of the Great Depression, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has tried to prevent insider trading in U.S. securities markets. Insiders - a firm's principal owners, directors, and management, as well as its lawyers, accountants, and similar fiduciaries - routinely possess information that is unavailable to the general public. Because some of that information will affect the prices of the firm's securities when it becomes public, insiders can profit by buying or selling in advance. Even before the thirties, insiders were liable under the common law if they fraudulently misled uninformed traders into accepting inappropriate prices. But the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 went further by forbidding insiders from even profiting passively from superior information.

One of the most famous instances of insider trading was Charles F. Fogarty's purchase of Texas Gulf Sulphur shares during 1963 and 1964. Fogarty, an executive vice president of Texas Gulf, knew that the company had discovered a rich mineral lode in Ontario that it could not publicize before concluding leases for mineral rights. In the meantime Fogarty purchased 3,100 Texas Gulf shares and earned $125,000 to $150,000 (in 1991 dollars).
The basic argument against insider trading is that insiders should not be permitted to earn such sums at the expense of uninformed traders. Yet in almost all other markets where information is important, insider trading is well established and widely accepted. For example, mineral leases are routinely bought by those better able than the sellers to evaluate a site's potential, as Texas Gulf Sulphur's behavior exemplified. Cattle buyers rely on superior estimates of what packers will pay when negotiating with ranchers. And so it goes, in markets for art, for real estate, for professional athletes - indeed in practically every market with substantial variations in prices. In all those markets a few buyers routinely profit from knowledge that most sellers do not possess, and a few sellers profit from knowledge that most buyers do not possess. Commentators rarely cast aspersions on such traders' ethics or contend that their transactions should be regulated because of the asymmetry in information. Why should securities markets be treated differently?
One reason frequently cited by policymakers and commentators is that insider trading undermines public confidence in the securities markets. If people fear that insiders will regularly profit at their expense, they will not be nearly as willing to invest. A similar argument is that companies prefer that their securities trade in "thick" markets - that is, markets with many traders, substantial capital available, and frequent opportunities to trade at readily observable prices. Efficient securities markets, it is argued, require a "level informational playing field" to avoid frightening away speculators, who contribute to securities market liquidity, and investors, who could invest their savings in markets with less risk of insider predation. Working on such a premise, over the last quarter-century the SEC has brought new and ever more stringent enforcement initiatives against insider trading.
Related to this argument is the harm that insider trading causes for "specialists." A specialist is someone whom the stock exchange appoints to ensure that a buyer of a particular security listed by the exchange can readily find a seller, and vice versa. These specialists must buy from or sell to any trader whose order cannot be offset against other orders arriving simultaneously. If, for example, a buyer wants a hundred shares of IBM, but no one wants to sell at that moment, the IBM specialist sells from his inventory of IBM stock. The specialist charges a "bid-ask spread" to cover the cost. A bid-ask spread implies that a slightly higher price is asked from someone who wishes to purchase a security than will be contemporaneously offered to someone who wishes to sell.
An inside trader, however, will sell securities to the specialist when only he knows that the securities will soon be worth less. After the price has fallen, the insider is free to repurchase the securities from the specialist for the lower price. If that occurs, the specialist loses money. If insider trading recurs, the security's specialist cannot continue indefinitely without recouping the funds being lost to informed traders. Therefore, specialists will insist on larger bid-ask spreads if insider trading is permitted and occurs often.
To investors, the bid-ask spread is a trading cost. If insider trading increased the spread but did nothing else, it would decrease a security's attractiveness relative to certificates of deposit, government bonds, and other assets. Raising new capital would, thus, be more costly for a firm whose securities were subjected to repeated insider trading. Hence, all else being equal, insider trading makes it harder for a firm to raise money when opportunities to undertake new projects arise.
But insider trading might also have offsetting benefits. Insider trading can be profitable only if securities prices move. Therefore, insiders hoping to trade on inside information may try to get the price to move by cutting the company's costs, seeking new products, and so on. While such actions benefit the insider, they also benefit the firm's security holders as a group.
Of course, insiders can also profit by borrowing and then selling securities when the price is apt to fall. Some argue that insider trading is more likely to harm companies because damage is easier to inflict. That argument, in turn, has been countered; major actions by a company require teams, not individuals. Efforts to damage a firm would likely be brought to the attention of higher management or shareholders by some ambitious team member looking to capitalize on the resulting gratitude. Unfortunately, no evidence has been presented to help resolve this debate.
A number of financial economists and law professors take the position that insider trading ought to be legal. They base their case on the proposition that insider trading makes the stock market more efficient. Presumably, the inside information will come out at some point. Otherwise, the insider would have no incentive to trade on the information. If insider trading was legal, this group argues, insiders would bid the prices of stocks up or down in advance of the information being released. The result is that the price would more fully reflect all information, both public and confidential, about a company at any given time.
Even if insider trading sometimes creates more harm than good, rules against it could be contractual (e.g., "employees of our company who trade on material, nonpublic information forfeit their pension rights") rather than mandated by government. Because the circumstances facing companies differ, insider trading might be advantageous for some companies and not for others. And if so, would it not be sensible to permit firms to "opt out" of insider trading enforcement? Interestingly, Texas Gulf insider Charles Fogarty was subsequently elevated to chief executive officer of his company. Moreover, following Fogarty's death, another insider, who was also known to have traded on the same information, was elevated to replace him. Clearly, Texas Gulf's board of directors and shareholders must not have found the trading completely reprehensible. Yet the law makes no provision for opting out, implicitly assuming that insider trading injures all companies. Policymakers never seriously ask who is harmed, who is helped (other than the insiders), and by how much.
Of course, insider trading can injure a firm if the trading elevates prices that the firm itself has to pay. For example, if Fogarty had purchased Ontario mineral rights before Texas Gulf Sulphur agents could acquire them, Texas Gulf would have been injured. Similarly, if Alpha, Inc., quietly tries to acquire control of Gamma Corp., unauthorized purchases of Gamma securities by Alpha's president could drive up Gamma's share price, thus making the acquisition more costly. But most litigated cases reflect trading in competition with ordinary participants in the securities markets, not with the insider's own firm.
Considered narrowly, most investors are on average neither hurt nor helped by insider trading because most investors are "time-function traders." That is, they buy securities (and other assets) when their income exceeds their expenditures, and sell securities when an emergency, the period of their life, or a propitious moment to initiate some project necessitates expenditures that exceed income. Hence, time-function traders do not try to "beat the market." Since statistical examinations show that insider trading affects securities prices even before nonpublic information is released, time-function traders can be harmed or helped by insiders. Suppose that an insider's trading has elevated a security price. Those time-function traders who, by chance, want to buy that security must pay a higher price for it, one closer to the price it will reach when the insider's information becomes public. But those time-function traders who chance to sell unwittingly realize a higher price as a result of the insider's action. Consequently, some time-function traders have lost, but others have gained. Over a time-function trader's lifetime, the reasonable expectation would be to break even.
Besides specialists the one group systematically injured by insider trading are "price-function traders" - those who trade securities because they believe the present price is inappropriate. If an insider secretly buys securities, the result is an increase in price. Because some price-function traders believe that the security is now overpriced, they sell, but soon regret their action. Few people, however, have the expertise to realize trading profits repeatedly. Those who "play the market" without such expertise soon lose their capital. Thus, few active investors - even the professionals who manage pension funds - are properly considered price-function traders.
Sometimes, through luck or effort, individuals with no formal relationship with a firm discover important nonpublic information about it. Like true insiders they can profit by trading prior to public awareness of the information. A peculiar feature of insider trading law is that informed trading is treated more leniently if the trader is such a "quasi insider" (often a market professional who holds a seat on an organized securities exchange) than if the trader is a true insider.
For example, in 1975 and 1976 Vincent Chiarella netted more than $60,000 (1991 dollars) by trading on important nonpublic information about firms other than his employer, a financial printing firm. Even though clients tried to mask sensitive information in documents that Chiarella's employer was hired to print, Chiarella was often able to "crack the code." By buying from uninformed individuals, Chiarella became a successful trader. Yet the Supreme Court ruled that Chiarella did not violate the insider trading regulations because he did not work for and thus was not an insider of any firm whose inside information he had discovered.
This decision is puzzling. Whether the benefits to companies from true insider trading outweigh the costs, at least there are potential benefits. Quasi-insider trading, in contrast, imposes many of the same costs on firms with no obvious benefits. Although there has been pressure to strengthen the rules against quasi insiders, the legal constraints on them are still not as stringent as those on true insiders.
One matter is clear. Because insider trading has little effect on time-function traders, they do not participate in the debate. Most proponents of stronger insider-trading laws are price-function traders - arbitragers, floor traders, investment bankers, and others who earn a living from the securities exchanges. Insiders are such traders' most potent competitors for trading profits from new information. Price-function traders benefit from laws curtailing insider trading whether or not firms, and hence common investors, do also.
Far from the clearly settled moral issue that naïve media pieces, movies, and novels would have it be, both the theory and the evidence of insider trading remain primitive and equivocal. Present rhetoric and law have far outrun present understanding.
About the Author
David D. Haddock, who holds a Ph.D. in economics from the University of Chicago, is a professor of law at Northwestern University, where he teaches corporation law. He previously worked in the Office of the General Counsel of the Ford Motor Company, where he was chief of economic studies for antitrust matters.

Asian Stocks Fall After Japan Earthquake, U.S. Jobless Claims

March 11 (Bloomberg) -- Asian stocks fell, dragging the regional benchmark index to its biggest weekly drop since August, as a major earthquake hit Japan, violence spread in the Middle East and U.S. unemployment rose.
Honda Motor Co., the Japanese carmaker that gets about 44 percent of sales in North America, dropped 2.7 percent in Tokyo, where losses accelerated after a magnitude 8.9 earthquake shook buildings in the city’s financial center. Daelim Industrial Co., which gets 22 percent of sales from the Middle East, led South Korean construction companies lower after police broke up a protest in Saudi Arabia yesterday. BHP Billiton Ltd., the world’s largest mining company, lost 1 percent in Sydney after copper futures declined.
“The Japan earthquakes added another uncertainty to markets that were already plagued with turmoil in the Middle East and European debt concerns,” said Kang Shin Woo, chief investment officer at Seoul-based Korea Investment Management Co., which manages $17 billion. “This could raise concern for the Japanese economy that has showed some signs of recovery.”
The MSCI Asia Pacific Index fell 1.1 percent to 134.59 as of 8:37 p.m. in Tokyo, the lowest level since Dec. 20. Almost nine times as many shares declined as advanced on the gauge, which lost 3.4 percent this week.
The index climbed 1.9 percent last week as better-than- estimated economic data from South Korea to the U.S. boosted confidence in a global recovery, overcoming concern that Middle East unrest will drive oil prices higher and slow growth.
Tsunami Strikes
Japan’s Nikkei 225 Stock Average decreased 1.7 percent after the country’s strongest earthquake in at least a century struck off the northern coast, shaking buildings violently as far away as Tokyo minutes before stock trading ended. The highest tsunami warning was issued for the northeast coast.
At least 26 people were killed by the 33-foot wave and many are missing, according to state broadcaster NHK Television, which showed footage of waves sweeping away buildings and vehicles as far as 1.5 kilometers inland. Airports were closed and bullet train services suspended. More than 4 million homes are without power, Tokyo Electric Power Co. said.
South Korea’s Kospi Index sank 1.3 percent and Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index closed down 1.2 percent. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index slipped 1.6 percent.
China’s Shanghai Composite Index dropped 0.8 percent as government data showed the nation’s consumer prices rose 4.9 percent in February from a year earlier, exceeding the government’s 2011 target for a fifth month.
U.S. Unemployment
Futures on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index fell 0.5 percent today. The index tumbled 1.9 percent yesterday in New York after the U.S. Labor Department said applications for first-time unemployment benefits rose by 26,000 to 397,000 in the week ended March 5, more than the median estimate of 376,000 forecast by economists in a Bloomberg News survey.
The U.S. Commerce Department separately said the deficit in goods and services increased 15 percent in January as a surge in imports led by costlier crude oil overshadowed record exports.
Honda Motor, which counts North America as its biggest market, slipped 2.7 percent to 3,310 yen in Tokyo. Toyota Motor Corp., the world’s largest carmaker, dropped 1.5 percent to 3,595 yen. Li & Fung Ltd., Wal-Mart Stores Inc.’s biggest supplier, declined 2.9 percent to HK$44.25 in Hong Kong.
The MSCI Asia Pacific Index has almost doubled in the past two years. It sank to an eight-year low on March 9, 2009, following the bankruptcy filing of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. in September 2008.
Debt Concerns
The gauge briefly extended declines yesterday afternoon after Moody’s Investors Service cut Spain’s credit rating, saying the cost of shoring up the banking industry will eclipse government estimates.
“The situation in the Middle East provided a trigger for the market correction and now we’re seeing renewed concerns about European debt, and there’s ongoing worries about monetary tightening in Asia,” Shane Oliver, head of investment strategy in Sydney at AMP Capital Investors Ltd., which manages about $93 billion, said on Bloomberg Television. “All of these concerns are combining and making investors somewhat nervous.”
Crude oil for April delivery declined 1.6 percent to settle at $102.70 a barrel in New York yesterday, after falling as much as 3.6 percent earlier. Oil pared losses after police in Saudi Arabia, the Middle East’s biggest producer of crude, reportedly opened fire at a rally in the east of the country.
Daelim Industrial slumped 4.7 percent to 101,000 won in Seoul. Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co., which counts the Middle East as its biggest market outside of South Korea, dropped 2 percent to 77,200 won. GS Engineering & Construction Corp. declined 3.8 percent to 102,000 won.
‘Chilling Sentiment’
South Korean builders won $47.25 billion of orders from the Middle East last year, according to the Seoul-based Korea Trade- Investment Promotion Agency.
“Some news flow from Saudi are chilling sentiment toward builders again,” said Lee Jin Woo, a fund manager in Seoul at KTB Asset Management Co., which manages about $10 billion in assets. “Uncertainties over the situation in the Middle East may linger for a while.”
Raw material producers fell after the London Metal Exchange Index of six metals including copper and aluminum slid 0.4 percent yesterday, falling for a second day to the lowest level since Jan. 26.
BHP Billiton slid 1 percent to A$44.19 in Sydney. Rio Tinto Group, the world’s second-biggest mining company, declined 2 percent to A$78.80. Jiangxi Copper Co., China’s No. 1 producer of the metal, lost 1.7 percent to HK$23.10 in Hong Kong.
Convertible Bonds
IHI Corp., a Japanese heavy-machinery maker, slumped 4.3 percent to 203 yen in Tokyo after saying it plans to sell 23 billion yen ($278 million) of five-year convertible bonds to overseas investors.
CapitaMall Trust, Singapore’s biggest retail property trust, sank 1.1 percent to S$1.81 after the company increased the size of its convertible bond sale to S$250 million ($197 million) from S$200 million.
The MSCI Asia Pacific Index fell 1.1 percent this year through yesterday, compared with gains of 3 percent by the S&P 500 and 0.8 percent by the Stoxx Europe 600 Index. Shares in the Asian benchmark were valued at 13.9 times estimated earnings on average as of the last close, compared with 13.4 times for the S&P 500 and 11.1 times for the Stoxx 600.
--With assistance from Rishaad Salamat in Hong Kong and Norie Kuboyama and Satoshi Kawano in Tokyo. Editors: Nick Gentle, John McCluskey.

Thursday, 10 March 2011

Up To Date Stock Market News


For right investment in stock market news should be paid attention. The literal meaning of stock is referring to the amount, a founder invested into the company. The entire transaction takes place into the stock market is not physical in nature and does not remain stable. A person who is new to the stock market may face difficulties during the period of fluctuation. Stock market news helps us to know about every fluctuation and changes and is very helpful.
A person can make wise investment by the help of various tools equipped in today’s stock market. Like any other Investment, stock market also demands great knowledge and experience as risk is involved. It is necessary that you have a good amount of information about the stocks and for this purpose, stock market news is highly beneficial. It provides latest update about the stock market which makes you evaluate the factor well and affect your decision.
Today’s changes in the stock market are due to the advancement of technologies.In present era, you can operate the trade from your home easily. During earlier period you have to visit the stock exchange company to know the current status of the stock. There are many stock market news portals, television channels that provide regular updates of share price, which helps you to keep an eye on the price fluctuation, which happens enormously.If you want to survive in the market and get most out of your investment you should be able to recognize the potential of the trade.
IF you know nothing about the stock market, it is very tough to enter the field. For the person who is not aware of the difference between a potential and non potential stock should listen to stock market news and visit online broking websites. This sources provides reliable and instant stock market news on a regular basis. Some provide services such as the stock market today to provide stock recommendations on mobile. These services can be subscribed ,when you become a member.
Experience in the field also matters along with stock market news. Experienced stock broker who has spent good amount of time in the field has to be taken by you. The stock broker will not provide a guarantee about the profit, but will guide and share the stock market news with you.Stock market today is highly fluctuating in nature and due to this nature; a stock marketer can only help you in buying right stocks.
Investing in right stock in right time will help you tom earn a good amount of profit. But by investing blindly in any stock can put you in trouble. Always consider pros and cons of the aspect and take help of Stock market news because the situation of the market keeps changing with every second. It will help you to learn basic tactic and technique of the field.

How To Create Wealth In The Stock Market


How to create wealth in the stock marketFirst and foremost, an opportunistic strategy for creating wealth in the stock market is needed. And the opportunistic strategy for creating wealth in the stock market must have two ingredients, a plan and a goal. The plan must be a definite, concrete plan of investing that would profit you and your family for the rest of your lives. This opportunistic investment plan you begin should not profit anyone else – not a stockbroker, a mutual fund or a financial advisor. This means you have to have confidence in yourself and in your own judgment as to whether the investment plan you begin has merit.
And this means that the investment plan would and should have already been proven to you!This definite, concrete plan you begin for creating wealth through opportunities in the stock market must also have a goal. The goal should be clear and specific, and once your have made up your mind to achieve that goal, then go forward and make that goal a reality. What are the opportunistic traits of a strategic investment plan built on concrete that would actually allow the shareholder to profit through all the turmoil of an up and down stock market? The secret for creating wealth in the stock market; no matter what direction the market is heading? As in what appears to be the most difficult investment question of all to answer, the answer lies in simplicity itself – investing in those companies that have a historical record of raising their dividend every year. Whether or not you can take this statement of fact to heart is your own judgment call. But it is this opportunistic trait that can and will create wealth for you and your family for the rest of your lives.
A company's ability to raise its dividend every year, coupled with stock appreciation is a very powerful wealth creating formula!I'm going to provide you with two examples, though there are many more, some with even better results. The two examples are from my book, soon to be published by American Book Publishing – The Stockopoly Plan (where an investment plan and a goal are written in stone).The first example would be a stock purchased in 1990, Comerica (CMA). What led to the purchase of CMA? – In 1990 CMA had a 21 year history of raising their dividend every year. Today's CMA has a 35 year history of raising their dividend every year. This opportunistic trait in CMA stock has garnished a little better than a 15 percent return a year, compounded annually (just by having the dividends reinvested back into the stock each quarter through those years – I prove this to you in The Stockopoly Plan), for the past 14 plus years.

How To Create Wealth In The Stock Market


How to create wealth in the stock marketFirst and foremost, an opportunistic strategy for creating wealth in the stock market is needed. And the opportunistic strategy for creating wealth in the stock market must have two ingredients, a plan and a goal. The plan must be a definite, concrete plan of investing that would profit you and your family for the rest of your lives. This opportunistic investment plan you begin should not profit anyone else – not a stockbroker, a mutual fund or a financial advisor. This means you have to have confidence in yourself and in your own judgment as to whether the investment plan you begin has merit.
And this means that the investment plan would and should have already been proven to you!This definite, concrete plan you begin for creating wealth through opportunities in the stock market must also have a goal. The goal should be clear and specific, and once your have made up your mind to achieve that goal, then go forward and make that goal a reality. What are the opportunistic traits of a strategic investment plan built on concrete that would actually allow the shareholder to profit through all the turmoil of an up and down stock market? The secret for creating wealth in the stock market; no matter what direction the market is heading? As in what appears to be the most difficult investment question of all to answer, the answer lies in simplicity itself – investing in those companies that have a historical record of raising their dividend every year. Whether or not you can take this statement of fact to heart is your own judgment call. But it is this opportunistic trait that can and will create wealth for you and your family for the rest of your lives.
A company's ability to raise its dividend every year, coupled with stock appreciation is a very powerful wealth creating formula!I'm going to provide you with two examples, though there are many more, some with even better results. The two examples are from my book, soon to be published by American Book Publishing – The Stockopoly Plan (where an investment plan and a goal are written in stone).The first example would be a stock purchased in 1990, Comerica (CMA). What led to the purchase of CMA? – In 1990 CMA had a 21 year history of raising their dividend every year. Today's CMA has a 35 year history of raising their dividend every year. This opportunistic trait in CMA stock has garnished a little better than a 15 percent return a year, compounded annually (just by having the dividends reinvested back into the stock each quarter through those years – I prove this to you in The Stockopoly Plan), for the past 14 plus years.

Powerful acting in off-B'way 'Merchant of Venice'

There's a new Shylock in town, but only for a short while.
Theatre For A New Audience is presenting their previously acclaimed "The Merchant of Venice," directed by Darko Tresnjak, for a two-week run ending March 13 at off-Broadway's Schimmel Center at Pace University.
The "other" recent production, rather a big hit on Broadway, featured an actor named Al Pacino — but no cell phones.
Academy Award-winner F. Murray Abraham stars commandingly as the complex, cold-hearted Jewish moneylender in this modern-day telling of William Shakespeare's story of religious persecution, hypocrisy and greed — interwoven with a romantic comedy.
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Tresnjak's intelligent production takes a tongue-in-cheek, modern approach while keeping the courtroom dramas appropriately dark and serious. Exchanges both humorous and grim are made, involving money, marital vows and rings, power and loyalty. There are big winners and losers, just like any modern stock market.
Abraham's Shylock is powerful, dignified and classy, until he starts eagerly wielding his penknife in the courtroom scene. Abraham strongly conveys Shylock's sense of persecution and unbending righteous convictions, without over-emoting. For instance, he speaks calmly but glares fiercely in court as he stubbornly insists upon his literal pound of flesh from merchant Antonio for repayment of a debt.
Hearing the casual anti-Semitism and name-calling frequently directed toward Shylock by nearly every character in the play is even more discomforting in Tresnjak's modern setting. When Shylock's yarmulke is torn off after he loses the court case, and he slinks off in whimpering humiliation, there is some telling symbolism with the cruelly discarded cap.
The Venetian financial market is cool and steely, thanks to John Lee Beatty's clean, industrial set design and Linda Cho's sleek costumes. The smug male financiers wear 21st-century business suits; the women are attired in stylish, contemporary outfits and high heels.
Modern technology is wittily integrated: several characters use cell phones or cordless headsets, projections of computerized stock market quotes flicker on screens above the financiers, and laptops are used as the customary three caskets considered by heiress Portia's hopeful suitors. No quaint 16th-century touches here; Bassanio's possible bisexuality is signaled rather strongly.
Kate MacCluggage is spirited and winning as strong-willed heiress Portia, giddily girlish when expressing her love for Bassanio (agreeably played by Lucas Hall) and completely compelling when, disguised as a man in the courtroom, she delivers the play's best-known speech, "The quality of mercy..." with rising intensity.

Why Technical Analysis

When people find out I’m a trader, one of the first things they as is “what stock should I buy right now”? My answer, of course, is that I have no idea.

They want a buy-&-hold investment. They’re wrapped up in their own jobs and lives, and they wouldn’t notice something like a lower high or a high-volume reversal as a signal to bail out. They need some diversity, a long-term outlook, and most importantly, an advancing stock market.

I’m a technical trader with a short-term horizon. If something doesn’t act right, I can change my opinion in a heartbeat. I may even reverse my position. The market can stagnate and I can still make money. That’s the beauty of being short-term. I only have to be right for a limited time, ring the register, and then move on to the next trade.

When I try to explain why I select trades on a technical basis, several reasons always surface:

Short-term trades are all about supply and demand. Technical analysis is founded on price action, not fundamental trends over the course of a business cycle. I want something that can pay me today. Waiting for next year isn’t going to work for me. Chart patterns help me take notice of support, resistance, and momentum which will tell me whether I should be in or out of a stock. Knowing where buyers and sellers lurk provides me with opportunities to make money as I consider the emotions each group may be dealing with. Only technical analysis can reveal this.

Technical analysis of chart patterns provides me with good risk/reward setups. Trading is much more about money management than many give it credit for. By entering positions where I stand to lose only a little if I’m wrong but make much more if I’m right, my approach puts me at a big advantage. Finding chart patterns with a nearby stop-loss allows me to put my money to work with more confidence.

Trading on fundamentals puts me at a disadvantage. If I try to convince myself that my research of XYZ Company will reveal the same information that a multi-billion dollar fund can uncover, I’m kidding myself. Scouring Yahoo Finance in my spare time and trying to guess what next quarter will hold for a company will never compare to a research team that’s regularly in touch with management. The little guy doesn’t have access to the same info as the big dogs, so the playing field isn’t level.

I can compound my money faster. Technical trades are short-term in nature, so I’m in and out of the market much more frequently, compounding my money. Making 5 consecutive trades which each earn me 2% on my money will outpace the return of making one investment which shows me a 10% gain. Considering that fundamentals can take months, quarters, or even years to play out, I’m convinced that consistently hitting singles in the meantime will put me in the Hall of Fame without trying to uncover the next Microsoft or Cisco.

“Good companies” don’t always go up. The object is to turn a profit when my money is at risk. That means only one thing: if I’m buying a stock, it better be moving up. I don’t care if it’s a great company or not, if there’s no demand for it or no new money flowing into it, then it is not going higher. While a company may be great right now, how long will I have my money sitting in it before it is discovered? What opportunities might I miss elsewhere because I’m waiting for this one to pan out? No thanks! Good investments go up, not necessarily good companies.

Ultimately, I put my capital at risk only when opportunities present themselves, and preserve it the rest of the time. Trading with a technical approach allows me limit risk, maximize rewards, and even have a plan of action as I go.When people find out I’m a trader, one of the first things they as is “what stock should I buy right now”? My answer, of course, is that I have no idea.

They want a buy-&-hold investment. They’re wrapped up in their own jobs and lives, and they wouldn’t notice something like a lower high or a high-volume reversal as a signal to bail out. They need some diversity, a long-term outlook, and most importantly, an advancing stock market.

I’m a technical trader with a short-term horizon. If something doesn’t act right, I can change my opinion in a heartbeat. I may even reverse my position. The market can stagnate and I can still make money. That’s the beauty of being short-term. I only have to be right for a limited time, ring the register, and then move on to the next trade.

When I try to explain why I select trades on a technical basis, several reasons always surface:

Short-term trades are all about supply and demand. Technical analysis is founded on price action, not fundamental trends over the course of a business cycle. I want something that can pay me today. Waiting for next year isn’t going to work for me. Chart patterns help me take notice of support, resistance, and momentum which will tell me whether I should be in or out of a stock. Knowing where buyers and sellers lurk provides me with opportunities to make money as I consider the emotions each group may be dealing with. Only technical analysis can reveal this.

Technical analysis of chart patterns provides me with good risk/reward setups. Trading is much more about money management than many give it credit for. By entering positions where I stand to lose only a little if I’m wrong but make much more if I’m right, my approach puts me at a big advantage. Finding chart patterns with a nearby stop-loss allows me to put my money to work with more confidence.

Trading on fundamentals puts me at a disadvantage. If I try to convince myself that my research of XYZ Company will reveal the same information that a multi-billion dollar fund can uncover, I’m kidding myself. Scouring Yahoo Finance in my spare time and trying to guess what next quarter will hold for a company will never compare to a research team that’s regularly in touch with management. The little guy doesn’t have access to the same info as the big dogs, so the playing field isn’t level.

I can compound my money faster. Technical trades are short-term in nature, so I’m in and out of the market much more frequently, compounding my money. Making 5 consecutive trades which each earn me 2% on my money will outpace the return of making one investment which shows me a 10% gain. Considering that fundamentals can take months, quarters, or even years to play out, I’m convinced that consistently hitting singles in the meantime will put me in the Hall of Fame without trying to uncover the next Microsoft or Cisco.

“Good companies” don’t always go up. The object is to turn a profit when my money is at risk. That means only one thing: if I’m buying a stock, it better be moving up. I don’t care if it’s a great company or not, if there’s no demand for it or no new money flowing into it, then it is not going higher. While a company may be great right now, how long will I have my money sitting in it before it is discovered? What opportunities might I miss elsewhere because I’m waiting for this one to pan out? No thanks! Good investments go up, not necessarily good companies.

Ultimately, I put my capital at risk only when opportunities present themselves, and preserve it the rest of the time. Trading with a technical approach allows me limit risk, maximize rewards, and even have a plan of action as I go.